Goal

Managing the impacts of climate change is not a stand-alone issue for a city or asset manager. Other external trends will affect the city as well. These trends will be listed here so that they can be taken into account in further steps in the decision making process.

Preconditions

There are no apparent preconditions.

Outcomes

A list of external trends and activities that need to be considered when drafting the adaptation strategy and a description on how they affect the strategy.  Be aware that these external trends and activities can point out stakeholders which should be considered in the creation of a climate adaptation plan.

Guidelines

Non-climate-related trends could also increases the probabilities, intensities and, hence, the risks of climate hazards. These trends are called stressors. Also, policies could be in place that affect the future vulnerability or impact of future climate on the city. To determine external trends affecting the city or asset, a good overview of the current situation is required. Involving various city department, such as the Environmental department, the Emergency department, and departments responsible for social and economic matters, and possibly consulting external parties, such as universities and knowledge institutes, and inquiring after their long-term visions and goals enhances the development of an extensive and complete list of relevant trends.

This can be done, for example, by;

• Interviewing subjects, or;
• Organising a workshop in which a scenario analysis is conducted in a participatory way.

Trends that can be mentioned in the overview can include:

• Regional/national/international policies;
• Economic;
• Mobility;
• Technical;
• Energy;
• Social.

Experiences

No experiences available yet.

Supporting tools and methods

RESIN IVAVIA

IVAVIA is a systemic methodology for conducting a risk-based process for assessing impacts and vulnerabilities of urban areas and their infrastructure related to consequences of Climate Change.

PESTEL analysis

A PESTEL (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental and Legal) analysis is a method used to analyse and monitor the macro-environmental factors that may have a profound impact on an organisation’s performance. Focused at organisations, this method is not specifically designed to function in the context of a city, but it can provide structure in finding which non-climate trends could influence the adaptation goals and how.